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There’s gold (and lithium and cobalt) in all those EV battery packs

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There’s a bit of a battery manufacturing boom going on.

In 2021, battery manufacturing in the United States totaled approximately 55 gigawatt-hours’ worth of cells, or roughly enough batteries to produce 700,000 EVs. 

By 2030, that production is expected to top 1,000GWh, growing by nearly a factor of 20. Billions of dollars in incentives such as the Inflation Reduction Act and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law have spurred the creation of a so-called Battery Belt across the southeastern US, all fuel to fire an anticipated spike in electric vehicle demand. 

More demand for EVs means more demand for batteries, which, in turn, means higher demand for raw battery materials, stressing a global infrastructure already stretched to the limit. The solution, or part of it, might come from recycling. With billions invested in some literally explosive recycling technology, Redwood Materials is poised to become a significant factor in meeting that need.

Supply and demand 

There’s recently been some churn in the media about cooling demand for electric cars, but a quick look at the numbers shows demand is strong. While EVs made up less than 8 percent of total US new vehicle sales in Q3 of 2023, that number still represented a nearly 50 percent increase compared to the previous year.

That demand is only expected to grow, which is leading to a surge in battery production. However, where you can stand up a battery factory inside of two years, it can take upward of a decade to get a new mine going.

For EV manufacturers that want to make cheap cars with big batteries, that’s a challenge. For a recycler like Redwood Materials, it’s an opportunity. After all, material scarcity leads to value, and there’s gold in all those EV battery packs headed to landfills. 

Well, not literal gold, at least not much, but there is plenty of lithium, cobalt, and other materials that are good for batteries but hard to find in the earth. This has driven massive investments, including a recent $1 billion Series D raise for Redwood.

“There’s been significant investment flowing towards building recycling capabilities across the world in recent months,” Jessica Roberts, head of forecasting at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, says. “In North America specifically, we’ve seen both private and public funding go towards individual recyclers looking to expand existing plants or support the construction of new facilities.”

“There’s been significant investment flowing towards building recycling capabilities across the world in recent months.”

Former Tesla CTO and co-founder JB Straubel launched Redwood in 2017. Straubel used his early connections to secure agreements to recycle Tesla scrap cells from Panasonic, but since then, has partnered with automakers like Volkswagen, Audi, and most recently, Toyota. Redwood is even in on the e-bike lifecycle, signing recycling agreements with companies like Specialized, Rad Power Bikes, and Lyft. 

While Redwood has been getting the bulk of the buzz of late, it’s far from the only player in this recycling space, each with a different approach on the same theme: refurbish and reuse where possible and dissect and recycle where necessary. Ecobat is known as the largest recycler of batteries in the world, a longtime dominant player of lead-acid battery recycling with a growing focus on lithium cells. Manufacturers, too, are getting in on the game. LG Chem, which provides batteries for many global EV makers, has recently made investments in a number of recycling startups, like Li-Cycle, to facilitate in-house recycling and refurbishment.  

But that’s just the beginning. Per Benchmark estimates, $24 billion in recycling investments will be required to meet 2030’s anticipated demand.

It’s a big investment — and big science, too.

A little chemistry

As manufacturers iterate on their electric vehicles, subsequent generations of cars are hitting dealerships with ever more advanced batteries. Those batteries are not only getting bigger but they’re also carrying more advanced internal chemistries. 

While virtually every modern EV relies on rechargeable lithium-ion batteries, the same basic technology found in your smartphone or Steam Deck, the composition of those batteries varies widely depending on a given manufacturer’s needs. A little extra cobalt in the cathode can extend a battery’s lifecycle, for example, while more advanced anode designs speed up charging. 

Still, lithium-ion batteries primarily rely on the same basic materials: lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, and graphite. Formulations like nickel-metal-cobalt (NMC) or lithium-phosphate (LFP) rely more or less heavily on individual constituents, but they all need large amounts of the same hard-to-find stuff.

If we’re going to be able to foster a new transportation infrastructure based on electrification, we’re going to need a better place to pull these materials. That’s where Redwood comes in. 

Sourcing

Even when an EV or hybrid is too tired for daily use and must be put out to pasture, or when a 4MWh solar farm in Hawaii is decommissioned, those batteries still contain valuable, rare materials. 

Jackson Switzer, VP of business development at Redwood Materials, likens tired batteries to the catalytic converters that keep disappearing from underneath people’s cars. “They have inherent value, they should be recycled, they should exist in a closed loop.”

Per Benchmark estimates, $24 billion in recycling investments will be required to meet 2030’s anticipated demand

A closed loop means pulling raw materials out of batteries and repurposing them into new ones. The first part of that loop is finding those packs before they hit landfills, and that’s partly why Redwood has been so aggressive in signing agreements with global EV manufacturers like Volkswagen. 

As packs are scrapped at official service centers or even during manufacturing, Redwood gets a call. While modern EV batteries are expected to last up to 15 years, per research by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, earlier formulations lost their spark much earlier, and there’s always the risk of damage sending that pack to the recycler well ahead of its expiration date.

Another primary source is from auto dismantlers, disparate groups of vehicular pickers that cumulatively recycle somewhere north of 10 million cars every year in the US. To help them, Redwood Materials has created something Switzer calls “Carvana for batteries.”

Through this web portal, you need only type in the make and model or VIN (the 17-digit code that uniquely identifies any car sold in the US) for a given car. The system immediately looks up the details on the battery pack within and presents a value.

For a demonstration, Switzer entered a Ford Mustang Mach-E. Redwood’s portal immediately returned a value: $290.25 for the standard range or $388.86 for the long-range model, paid directly by Redwood to the person providing the pack. That may not sound like much given the cost of a new car, but for a true recycling scenario, that’s more than the value of all the scrap metal within those cars. 

And there’s one final, significant source of battery cells for recycling: production. With all the new factories coming up to speed from companies like GM, Hyundai, and BMW, Switzer says the company expects a “fairly significant” volume of defective cells. “That’s not a knock at all on the cell manufacturers,” he adds. “That’s just reality. They’re going to be ramping and building so fast that there’s always going to be some line that’s not at steady state yet.”

In manufacturing, the overall percentage of good, sellable products to bad, defective stuff is called the manufacturing yield. As these new battery factories spin up, their yield rate will be relatively low, resulting in batteries that are still full of the right stuff but aren’t usable in customer cars. 

They are, however, ideal for recycling.

Recycling process

All these rechargeable batteries do the same thing: chemically store electricity by shuttling ions from the anode to the cathode and back again across an electrolyte solution. The physical designs of those packs, however, are substantially different.

While big battery packs look monolithic, they’re often composed of multiple modules. Those modules contain dozens of individual battery cells. More advanced packs have active systems with channels and pipes for funneling coolant, plus endless sensors to ensure those cells stay in their happy, cozy thermal range.

$290.25 for the standard range or $388.86 for the long-range model

All of those novel designs make Redwood’s job harder. Those packs must first be broken down to access the raw materials, stripping off all the metals, plastics, and whatever else is stuck on there during manufacturing.

This is a manual process, with trained workers in a controlled environment disassembling, pulling, prying, and sometimes literally tearing packs apart. 

Switzer says that Redwood’s goal is for upward of 95 percent reuse and recycling of materials. Materials like copper are directly recycled by Redwood and turned into foil, an essential component in battery manufacturing. Even the plastics, Switzer says, are increasingly recycled.

“Plastics are a challenge across the board. There’s no reason to shy away from that,” he says. “But the interesting thing about automotive is most of the plastic is actually the good, valuable recyclable type of plastic.”

But the heart of the matter is the raw materials at the cores of these packs, which make up the anodes and the cathodes of the individual cells. 

It’s nice to think about simply scraping those materials out and slapping them into new batteries, but that’s not feasible. As packs age, the components within begin to mingle, and their structures break down. Separating everything is a complicated task. Doing it quickly and efficiently is a massive area of research, but one technique is showing the most potential. 

“Redwood has spent several years, we’ve tried most every process,” Switzer says. “And so, this reductive calcination process we’ve ended up on is what I would call our mixture of everything that we have tried and seen in the market.”

In reductive calcination, the battery is run through what Switzer calls a “controlled thermal explosion.” Modern battery packs are so energy-dense that they can literally act like bombs. And there’s plenty of footage of what happens when something goes wrong

Battery manufacturers work incredibly hard to prevent that from happening, but for Redwood, inducing that chain reaction is critical. The energy from burning off the electrolyte that separates the anode and cathode breaks down the battery components within, making them ready for further processing and recycling.

All of this may sound somewhat catastrophic for the environment, but according to research compiled by Stanford University, it’s far more efficient than other processing techniques. Since it provides its own energy, it requires far less from external sources while offering substantially reduced CO2 emissions and water consumption. The overall environmental impact is likewise a fraction of that of mining the materials in the first place.

Reconstitution

After the reductive calcination process, it’s time to start separating the valuable materials. Switzer calls the resulting material an “intermediate” that is then ground into powders. “Then we essentially refine those where we start to pick them apart,” he says.

The resulting chemistry is a little complicated, but the processing from here is not dissimilar to what happens with raw materials from mining. “The key differentiator, though, is our powder contains nickel, cobalt, lithium, typically at higher concentrations than you find in a mined ore,” Switzer says. “We conveniently have them all in one place because they’re coming out of a battery.”

All of those novel designs make Redwood’s job harder

The promise is raw materials that are as good as new and ready for manufacturing, even if the initially recycled batteries were old and tired. “Some initial studies have suggested recycled cathode materials in batteries can match the performance of new ones,” Benchmark Mineral’s Roberts says. However, she adds that this is still a developing science: “Determining which recycled parts and which recycling methods produce performance in line with new materials will take time.”

The future

As mentioned above, disassembling packs is a largely manual game right now. But Switzer says that the opportunity to apply automation and machine learning to pack deconstruction techniques is high: “Right now, we’re looking at like 100 to 200 different types of packs that are out there in the market in the US, let’s say. So it’s definitely completely learnable from my perspective.”

The other significant improvement, though, will come from simply increasing the volume of operations. Last year, Redwood committed to a $3.5 billion recycling facility in South Carolina, right in the heart of all the upcoming American battery manufacturing. With access to the Port of Charleston, Switzer says that exporting anode and cathode materials to Europe becomes a very real possibility.

This facility will be twice the size of Redwood’s current operations in Nevada and deliver an anticipated output of 400GWh of materials on top of the Nevada facility’s 100GWh. 

That’s 500GWh of material production, enough to supply 10 times the entire US battery output in 2021. However, Redwood’s projections see US battery production spiking to more than 1,600GWh by 2035. 

Closing the loop

To really bolster US EV infrastructure, we’ll need to cut down on mining. But can we meet the market need with recycled materials? Can we ever really close this loop of battery demand? “There is sometimes a misconception that recycling is the industry’s immediate silver bullet to both supply shortages and sustainability concerns,” Roberts says. She says that time may come, but it’ll be decades before there’s enough raw material in circulation for the industry to sustain itself.

Redwood’s Switzer is targeting 2040. However, he says that it isn’t just one loop. It’s many loops, and some will close sooner than others. “Early EV batteries had a lot more cobalt than EVs that are coming off the lines today. And then the consumer electronics segment actually uses a ton of cobalt,” he says. 

In other words, the cobalt loop is closing soon, and with any luck, the rest won’t be far behind.



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Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin plans to launch a new crew capsule on Monday

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Blue Origin is preparing to launch its NS-27 mission with the RSS Kármán Line, its new crew capsule, on Monday at 9AM ET. It will be the first launch for the capsule, which the company says in its announcement will have improved performance and reusability, along with “an updated livery, and accommodations for payloads on the booster.”

The flight will carry two LIDAR sensors into space that will be used for Blue Origin’s Lunar Permanence program to develop Moon landers. Those are among 12 payloads that also include ultra-wideband proximity operations sensors, a reproduction of the black monoliths from 2001: A Space Odyssey, and student postcards submitted to its Club for the Future nonprofit. Blue Origin will stream the launch on its website, starting 15 minutes before liftoff.

NS-27’s next flight comes as Blue Origin works toward the goal of becoming a real SpaceX competitor. Company CEO Dave Limp, the former Amazon hardware boss who took over late last year, said the company needs to “be able to build things a lot” to become “a world class manufacturer” in an interview with CNBC.

“We’d like to [be delivering] about an engine a week by the end of the year. I’m not sure we’ll get exactly to a week, but it’ll be sub-10 days … [and] by the end of 2025, we have to be faster than that,” Limp said.

Blue Origin plans to launch New Glenn, its big reusable booster that recently completed its first second-stage hot fire test, for the first time in November. Blue Origin says the rocket can deliver 45,000 kilograms (more than 99,000 pounds) into low Earth orbit, which CNBC notes is roughly double what SpaceX’s Falcon 9 can do. The company also hopes to land the booster on its first flight.



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Big Tech has cozied up to nuclear energy

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Tech giants are increasingly eyeing nuclear reactors to power their energy-hungry data centers. Amazon and Microsoft each inked major deals this year with nuclear power plants in the US. And both Microsoft and Google have shown interest in next-generation small modular reactors that are still in development.

New AI data centers need a lot of electricity, which has taken companies further away from their climate goals as their carbon emissions grow. Nuclear reactors could potentially solve both of those problems. As a result, Big Tech is breathing new life into America’s aging fleet of nuclear reactors while also throwing its weight behind emerging nuclear technologies that have yet to prove themselves.

“Certainly, the prospects for this industry are brighter today than they were five and 10 years ago,” says Mark Morey, senior adviser for electricity analysis at the US Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration.

“Certainly, the prospects for this industry are brighter today”

Much of America’s aging nuclear fleet came online in the 1970s and 1980s. But the industry has faced pushback following high-profile accidents like Three Mile Island and the Fukushima disaster in Japan. Nuclear power plants are also expensive to build and generally less flexible than gas plants that now make up the biggest chunk of the US electricity mix. Gas-fired power plants can more quickly ramp up and down with the ebb and flow of electricity demand.

Nuclear power plants typically provide steady “baseload” power. And that makes it an attractive power source for data centers. Unlike manufacturing or other industries that operate during daytime business hours, data centers run around the clock.

“When people are sleeping and offices are shut and we’re not using as much [electricity], what matches nuclear energy very nicely with data centers is that they pretty much need power 24/7,” Morey says.

That consistency also sets nuclear apart from wind and solar power that wane with the weather or time of day. Over the past five years or so, many tech companies have accelerated climate goals, pledging to reach net zero carbon dioxide emissions.

The added energy demand from new AI tools, however, has put those goals further out of reach in some cases. Microsoft, Google, and Amazon have all seen their greenhouse gas emissions climb in recent years. Getting electricity from nuclear reactors is one way companies can try to bring those carbon emissions down.

A feat that’s never been done before in the US

Microsoft signed an agreement to purchase power from shuttered Three Mile Island in September. “This agreement is a major milestone in Microsoft’s efforts to help decarbonize the grid in support of our commitment to become carbon negative,” Microsoft VP of energy Bobby Hollis said in a press release at the time.

The plan is to revive the plant by 2028, a feat that’s never been done before in the US. The plant “was prematurely shuttered due to poor economics” in 2019, according to Joe Dominguez, president and CEO of the company, Constellation, that owns the plant. But the outlook for nuclear energy now is rosier than it has been for years as companies look for carbon pollution-free sources of electricity.

In March, Amazon Web Services purchased a data center campus powered by the adjacent Susquehanna Nuclear power plant in Pennsylvania. That $650 million deal secures electricity from the sixth largest nuclear facility in the US (out of 54 sites today).

Google is considering procuring nuclear energy for its data centers as part of its sustainability plans. “Obviously, the trajectory of AI investments has added to the scale of the task needed,” CEO Sundar Pichai said in an interview with Nikkei this week. “We are now looking at additional investments, be it solar, and evaluating technologies like small modular nuclear reactors, etc.”

He’s referring to next-generation reactors that are still in development and not expected to be ready to connect to the power grid until the 2030s at the earliest. The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission certified a design for an advanced small modular reactor for the first time last year. These advanced reactors are roughly one-tenth to one-quarter the size of their older predecessors; their size and modular design are supposed to make them easier and cheaper to build. They might also be more flexible than larger nuclear plants when it comes to adjusting how much electricity they produce to match changes in demand.

Bill Gates, for one, is all in on nuclear energy. He’s the founder and chair of TerraPower, a company developing small modular reactors. Last year, Microsoft put out a job listing for a principal program manager to lead the company’s nuclear energy strategy that would include small modular reactors.

Bill Gates, for one, is all in on nuclear energy

“I’m a big believer that nuclear energy can help us solve the climate problem, which is very, very important,” Gates said in an interview with The Verge last month.

This week, the Department of Energy released a new report projecting that US nuclear capacity could triple by 2050. After flatlining for years, electricity demand is expected to rise in the US thanks to EVs, new data centers, crypto mining, and manufacturing facilities. That growing demand is changing the outlook for nuclear energy, according to the report. Just a couple years ago, utilities were shutting down nuclear reactors. Now, they’re extending reactors’ lifetimes by up to 80 years and planning to restart ones that have shuttered, it says.

“It is reasonable to think that the tech companies could catalyze a new wave of investment in nuclear, in the US and around the world. There has been plenty of talk about the idea in the industry,” Ed Crooks, Wood Mackenzie senior vice president, thought leadership executive for the Americas wrote in a blog post this week.

This doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s all smooth sailing ahead for nuclear energy in the US. New reactor designs and plans to reopen shuttered nuclear power plants are still subject to regulatory approval. Initiatives to build both old-school power plants and new designs have faced soaring costs and delays. Amazon already faces opposition to its nuclear energy plans in Pennsylvania over concerns that it could wind up driving up electricity costs for other consumers. And the nuclear energy industry still faces pushback over the impact of uranium mining on nearby communities and concerns about where to store radioactive waste.

“It’s an interesting time, challenging in many ways,” Morey says. “We’ll see what happens.”



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Watch what it’s like to handle an overturned truck full of burning batteries

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A truck full of lithium-ion batteries was knocked over near the Port of Los Angeles on September 26th, exploded, and was left to burn for days — interrupting traffic on highways, and a bridge and shutting down port terminals. A local towing company, Pepe’s Towing Service, caught the explosion on camera and vlogged the incident for days until it was time for them to haul the remnants away.

Pepe’s Tow Service owner Josh Acosta uploaded a lengthy video today chronicling the point of explosion, the long wait as the Fire Department let the batteries burn, and the process of lifting the container full of burnt batteries to transport. In the video, we see what looks like stacks of batteries with liquid cooling pipes between each layer.

Image: Pepe’s Towing Service

Image: Pepe’s Towing Service

Image: Pepe’s Towing Service

In a phone call with The Verge, Acosta says the battery is one “giant container-sized battery” that “does not come apart.” He believes it could be used in buildings for backup power. According to Acosta, the battery weighed 60,000 pounds.

Acosta says he doesn’t remember which company owns the container that transported the battery — but his video blurs out text on the side of the container anyhow.

The video shows the painstaking logistics for firefighters dealing with burning lithium-ion cells — they often need to use thousands of gallons of water to put these out, including on electric vehicle fires. And in this case, the Los Angeles Fire Department told The Verge that the fire kept going on and off.

Acosta told us he was called to the job by the customer who owns the overturned truck, and that’s why he caught the moment on camera. Now, Pepe’s Towing is hauling the remnants of the container for scrap recycling.



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