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Atlantic hurricane season is coming to an end — will the US be ready for the next one?

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This is the last week of a truly shitty Atlantic hurricane season. It was record-breaking. People are still recovering. Misinformation managed to make things even worse. Now, we get a six-month-ish break before it starts over again — perhaps with fewer federal resources to respond in the US.

At the very least, we knew what was coming this year. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast an “above normal” season before it started in June. The agency published a recap yesterday with some data on how it all played out; the TLDR: these are some big numbers.

There’s also some subtext in there. It took a huge coordinated effort within the agency to put out forecasts and communicate risks to the public. Any efforts to gut the agency during the Trump administration could make that critical work much harder to do.

Efforts to gut the agency during the Trump administration could make that critical work much harder

“As hurricanes and tropical cyclones continue to unleash deadly and destructive forces, it’s clear that NOAA’s critical science and services are needed more than ever by communities, decision makers and emergency planners,” NOAA administrator Rick Spinrad said yesterday.

First, let’s recap. Hurricane Beryl broke a record for forming earlier in the Atlantic season than any other Category 5 storm. It tore through Texas in July, knocking out power for millions of people and triggering a second disaster as residents sweltered through a dangerous heatwave without air conditioning.

Hurricane Helene, a Category 4 storm, was likely the deadliest hurricane to hit the continental US since Katrina in 2005, according to preliminary data from NOAA. Some towns in North Carolina still don’t have drinkable water, two months after the storm ripped a devastating path across the Southeast, Grist and public radio station BPR report.

Hurricane Milton slammed into Florida a couple of weeks later, after intensifying faster than nearly any other storm on record. Its wind speed increased by 90 miles per hour within a day, according to NOAA.

And those are only a few of the big names. No less than 18 storms grew strong enough to earn a name this season. The average is only 14. Eleven of those storms became hurricanes, compared to seven on average. Five storms strengthened into major hurricanes, a Category 3 or higher. A typical season only has three major hurricanes.

The Atlantic season typically peaks in early September. But seven hurricanes formed after September 25th, a record number for the tail end of the season. After all, it’s hard to say what’s “typical” anymore with climate change.

Hurricanes gather strength from heat energy. As greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels trap heat on our planet, higher sea surface temperatures fuel stronger tropical storms. Heat also helps storms rapidly intensify, which can catch a community off guard unless they have reliable forecasts to help them prepare.

NOAA’s hurricane hunter aircraft flew 392 hours and passed through the eye of a hurricane 80 times over the season to gather data needed to issue forecasts and better understand how hurricanes are changing. NOAA houses the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center that public officials and media often rely on to share forecasts with the public. The agency also conducts a lot of climate research that helps planners keep their communities safe, including data that informs federal flood maps.

Project 2025, the right-wing planning document for a second Trump administration, says NOAA “should be dismantled and many of its functions eliminated, sent to other agencies, privatized, or placed under the control of states and territories.” Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s vision for President-elect Donald Trump’s “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE) calls for “mass head-count reductions” across federal agencies.

NOAA staff, understandably, are “very nervous and scared for what’s coming,” a former senior NOAA official told Politico’s E&E News this month.

We already saw a glimpse this year of how attacks against federal agencies might affect disaster response. Misinformation about FEMA spurred a wave of threats against its staff on social media. Not only does that make FEMA’s work more complicated but it can also risk dissuading people from getting help from the agency.

Regardless of turmoil within NOAA, if it still exists next year, storms will keep brewing in the Atlantic once hurricane season kicks off again. For now, at least, the National Hurricane Center doesn’t expect any tropical cyclone activity for the next 48 hours. The season comes to a close on November 30th.



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Oil giants blocked a treaty to curb plastic pollution, but countries will try again

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International negotiations to create a legally binding treaty to stem the tide of plastic pollution ended in a stalemate on Monday — pushing talks past their initial deadline and into next year.

More than 100 countries have shown support for limits on plastic manufacturing. They’ve faced fierce opposition from other countries that are major fossil fuel producers and who want to focus on managing waste rather than tamping down plastic production.

But there’s no way to get a handle on the plastic pollution building up in our landfills, oceans, and bodies without stopping the problem at its source, according to supporters of a production cap. Setting manufacturing limits would have the added benefit of curbing the greenhouse gas emissions that cause climate change. Health advocates also want stronger rules to prevent the use of hazardous chemicals in plastics.

“We are the canary in the coal mine.”

“We’re in it with heavy hearts. Our communities at home are suffering,” says Jo Banner, who traveled from her home in Louisiana to attend the negotiations that took place in Busan, South Korea, over the past week (and which coincided with the Thanksgiving holiday in the US). “We are the canary in the coal mine.”

Banner and her sister founded The Descendants Project, a nonprofit that advocates for communities along an industrial corridor in Louisiana, where many descendants of enslaved Black people live. What was once known as “Plantation Country” is now often called “Cancer Alley” after roughly 150 oil refineries, plastics plants, and petrochemical facilities have moved into the region. Toxic air pollution has been linked to higher cancer risks in communities with predominantly Black residents and neighborhoods with high poverty rates near industrial facilities in Louisiana.

Plastic is made with petroleum, in addition to more than 16,000 different chemicals. Just 6 percent of those chemicals are subject to international regulation, and 4,200 are hazardous “chemicals of concern,” according to recent research.

Those chemicals worry advocates who live near plastic-producing facilities as well as researchers studying the growing impact of plastic pollution around the world. Plastic production doubled between 2000 and 2019 alone, reaching 460 million metric tons, according to countries that joined a High Ambition Coalition to End Plastic Pollution.

“We’re on the fence line [bordering industrial facilities], but make no mistake, everybody’s on the line,” Banner tells The Verge. “It’s just a matter of time before that fence line is in your backyard. So now is the time to act and intervene.”

Banner has attended each of the five rounds of plastic treaty negotiations involving more than 170 countries that have taken place since 2022. Environmental advocates had hoped for a treaty similar to past international agreements to curb the use of ozone-depleting substances and stop global warming. But what was supposed to be the final round of talks in Busan came to a close at 2:50AM local time on Monday without a deal. Instead, another meeting is supposed to be scheduled sometime in 2025.

“We have been forced to delay addressing one of the most pressing issues of our time to a later date by a few obstructionist countries,” Merrisa Naidoo, a plastic program manager at the nonprofit GAIA Africa, said in a statement shared with reporters by email.

Delegates from Saudi Arabia led a group of petroleum-producing countries that fought any measures that would limit plastic production, The New York Times reported. The US, the world’s biggest oil producer, notably chose not to join other countries in the High Ambition Coalition nor nations that submitted a proposal to set “a global target to reduce the production of primary plastic polymers to sustainable levels.” 

“We are not here to end plastic itself … but plastic pollution,” a delegate from Kuwait said during the closing plenary.

Instead of capping plastic production, they want to improve recycling rates. Current rates are so abysmal that environmental groups often call recycling a “myth.” Less than 10 percent of plastic waste is recycled.

Plastic is difficult and expensive to recycle, in part because there are so many different types and ingredients. Even when it’s rehashed, it gets “downcycled” because it’s hard to maintain the same quality of material with each use. Plastic bottles are used to make fibers for carpeting, for example. And gadgets made using recycled plastic generally have to be reinforced with virgin plastic. In the end, it often winds up being cheaper to make new plastic rather than recycling.

Despite the lack of a final agreement, Banner is still holding out hope that a strong plastics treaty can eventually come together. “It’s still disappointing that we weren’t able to reach the treaty yet,” she says. “But at the same time, I feel more motivated and more just reinvigorated to continue the process and definitely pushing more ambition.”



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You can take a selfie with the Earth using this YouTuber’s satellite

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The stunt escalation on YouTube may have reached new heights with Mark Rober’s offer to snap anyone’s selfie with the planet Earth using a satellite he’s launching into orbit with the help of Google and T-Mobile.

If you tell Rober where you live, he claims that he’ll take the selfie while the satellite is located over your city, and he’ll tell you exactly when the photo is going to be taken, so you can go outside and technically get in the shot twice. The satellite is scheduled to be launched by SpaceX in January 2025 (aboard the Transporter 12 mission), and is set to start taking selfie photos a few months after that.

Yes, it’s a total gimmick, and while Rober and T-Mobile are advertising the opportunity as “free,” I regret to inform you that there are some strings attached. You’ll need to subscribe to CrunchLabs, which offers engineering-build kits for kids, to get the free code for the satellite selfie. (CrunchLab subscriptions run between $25-$80 annually, depending on the selected package.) Existing T-Mobile subscribers can also get a free code via the T-Life app, and Google Pixel customers are being offered codes as well.

Codes can be redeemed starting December 3rd at spaceselfie.com. You’ll be directed to upload your selfie, after which you’ll receive an email allowing you to track when your selfie will be taken.

Image: Mark Rober/T-Mobile

Rober has a whole YouTube video explaining the mechanics of the selfie-taking satellite. There are actually two cameras and two Google Pixel phones mounted on either side of the satellite for redundancy, and the whole thing is powered by an expansive solar array, sending energy to a 120Wh battery pack.

This actually creates a unique problem for the satellite, which needs to be facing at least three different ways for solar energy collection, selfie taking, and the sending and receiving of pictures — with no propellors or thrusters to help change positions. To solve this, Rober’s team installed a flywheel inside the satellite to help it change positions depending on which action it’s performing. Pretty smart.



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Can AI help connect more solar and wind farms to the power grid?

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The US Department of Energy (DOE) thinks AI can speed up the process of connecting new energy projects to the power grid.

It announced $30 million in funding now available through its Artificial Intelligence for Interconnection (AI4IX) program. The DOE is interested in fostering partnerships between grid operators and software and energy project developers to get new sources of electricity online faster.

The plan is to use AI to streamline the interconnection application process that’s currently painfully slow. The delay is holding up efforts to get new solar and wind farms up and running. Pressure is building to clear that backlog with electricity demand on the rise — ironically in no small part because of the artificial intelligence boom.

Pressure is building to clear the backlog with electricity demand on the rise — in no small part because of the AI boom

As it is, it takes up to seven years to connect a new electricity generation project to the grid in the US, and wait times have been increasing. As a result, there’s an enormous backlog of 2,600 gigawatts worth of new energy generation and storage projects awaiting interconnection. That’s roughly twice as much capacity as the US currently has for generating electricity today, according to the DOE.

Why does it take so long to connect to the grid? Utilities and grid operators need project developers to complete a series of studies meant to determine what kinds of grid upgrades might be necessary and how much that will cost.

The slow interconnection process is also a relic of an energy system designed around fossil fuels — when developers would have relatively few large power plants in the queue. Power grids with more renewable energy tend to be less centralized, with electricity coming from a more distributed network of smaller solar, wind, and battery projects. That means more applications to review.

New solar and onshore wind farms are generally cheaper sources of electricity than coal or gas now, and they don’t create air pollution or contribute to climate change. You can see those perks reflected in what kinds of energy infrastructure is being built in the US. More than 94 percent of new energy capacity waiting to connect to the grid is carbon-free, primarily solar, wind, and batteries.

Utilities and grid operators might be able to get through interconnection applications for those projects faster if they can use AI, the DOE suggests. It says the current manual process for reviewing applications is labor-intensive — an issue made worse because submitted applications are often incomplete. Communicating with developers so they can fill in missing information to correct their applications can lead to significant delays, the DOE says.

Through AI4IX, the DOE wants to use existing AI algorithms to quickly spot deficient applications and notify their authors. Utilities might use AI software trained on accurate applications, for example. The DOE is accepting proposals for the first round of AI4IX funding through January 10th, 2025, and expects to announce awardees sometime in winter 2025.

Federal agencies are bracing for turmoil once President-elect Donald Trump steps into office next year. Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s plans for Trump’s “Department of Government Efficiency” include “mass head-count reductions” across federal agencies. And Project 2025 talks about gutting programs within the DOE’s Grid Deployment Office, which is overseeing AI4IX program funding.

But despite promises to undo Joe Biden’s clean energy legacy, Trump’s team hasn’t specifically targeted funding from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law as much, which funds the initiative.

Moreover, Trump’s pick to lead the Environmental Protection Agency, Lee Zeldin, says he wants to “make America the AI capital of the world.” The pledge reflects the incoming Trump administration’s deregulatory agenda, particularly when it comes to any rules that might hinder the growth of energy-hungry AI data centers.

Electricity demand from data centers could rise 160 percent by 2030 with the boom in AI, according to Goldman Sachs Research. So getting more electricity generation online to meet that demand could continue to be a priority for the DOE moving forward.



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