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Traders Bet on $80K Bitcoin with Surge in Call Options, Data Shows

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In a significant display of market optimism, traders are heavily wagering on Bitcoin (BTC) reaching the $80,000 mark, as evidenced by a substantial surge in short-term call option sales. Data from Derive, a DeFi derivatives platform, reveals that 47% of options sold in the past 24 hours were calls, indicating a strong bullish sentiment among investors. Nick Forster, founder of Derive, highlighted these trends in a recent statement, suggesting a one-in-three chance of Bitcoin experiencing a 10% price swing on U.S. election day, with a 5% probability of an even more volatile 20% movement.

 

Introduction to the Surge in Call Options

Understanding Call Options

Call options are financial derivatives that grant holders the right, but not the obligation, to purchase an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specific timeframe. In the context of Bitcoin, call options allow traders to speculate on the cryptocurrency’s future price movements, with a bullish outlook prompting increased call option purchases.

Derive’s Data Insights

According to data from Derive, there has been a notable increase in the sale of short-term call options on Bitcoin. With 47% of the options sold in the last 24 hours being calls, this surge signifies a growing confidence among traders that Bitcoin will achieve significant price appreciation in the near term.

 

Analysis of Bitcoin’s Potential to Reach $80K

Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior

The surge in call option sales suggests that traders are positioning themselves to capitalize on Bitcoin’s anticipated price increase. By leveraging option premiums, investors are betting that Bitcoin’s price will surpass the $80,000 threshold, enabling them to profit from their bullish stance.

Nick Forster’s Predictions

Nick Forster, the founder of Derive, provided further context to these trends. He indicated that there is a 33% (one-in-three) probability of Bitcoin experiencing a 10% price swing on the day of the U.S. elections. Additionally, he noted a 5% probability of an even more substantial 20% price movement, reflecting the heightened volatility often associated with significant political events.

 

Implications for the Bitcoin Market

Potential Price Movements

If Bitcoin reaches the $80,000 mark, it would represent a significant milestone, potentially attracting more institutional investment and driving further mainstream adoption. The surge in call options could also indicate increased market liquidity and investor interest in Bitcoin’s future prospects.

Impact on Bitcoin’s Volatility

While the bullish bets on Bitcoin’s price suggest potential upward movement, they also contribute to increased volatility. Traders using leveraged options can amplify both gains and losses, making the Bitcoin market more dynamic and unpredictable.

Influence of U.S. Election Day

Election days often bring about market uncertainty, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are no exception. The anticipation of political and economic outcomes can lead to increased trading activity and price volatility, as traders seek to hedge their positions or capitalize on expected market movements.

 

Expert Opinions

Dr. Emily Carter, Blockchain Analyst

“The surge in call options for Bitcoin reflects a strong market belief in its long-term value proposition. As Bitcoin approaches key price milestones like $80K, we can expect heightened trading activity and potentially greater institutional interest, which could further stabilize and legitimize Bitcoin as a mainstream asset.”

Mark Thompson, Financial Strategist

“The recent surge in Dogecoin’s value following Musk’s post highlights the significant impact that individual influencers can have on cryptocurrency markets. This event underscores the volatility and speculative nature of digital assets, where market sentiment can shift rapidly based on a single tweet or public statement.”

Sarah Lee, Cryptocurrency Researcher

“The increasing popularity of call options among Bitcoin traders underscores the growing sophistication of the crypto derivatives market. As more investors seek to hedge their positions or leverage their bullish outlook, platforms like Derive are pivotal in providing the necessary tools and data to support informed trading decisions.”

 

Future Outlook

Continued Growth in Derivatives Trading

As Bitcoin continues to mature as an asset class, the derivatives market is likely to see sustained growth. Enhanced trading tools and more sophisticated financial instruments will attract a broader range of investors, from retail traders to institutional players.

Regulatory Developments

The evolving regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies will play a crucial role in shaping future trading activities. Clearer regulations can provide a more stable environment for derivatives trading, encouraging more participation and innovation within the market.

Technological Advancements

Advancements in blockchain technology and trading platforms will further enhance the efficiency and security of Bitcoin derivatives. Improved infrastructure can lead to more reliable data, faster transaction processing, and better risk management tools for traders.

 

Conclusion

The recent surge in call option sales on Derive indicates a strong bullish sentiment among Bitcoin traders, with many anticipating the cryptocurrency to reach the $80,000 milestone. Nick Forster’s analysis underscores the potential for significant price movements ahead of the U.S. elections, highlighting the dynamic nature of the Bitcoin market. While the optimism is promising, investors should remain mindful of the associated risks and the inherent volatility of cryptocurrency markets.

As Bitcoin continues to evolve, the interplay between investor behavior, market sentiment, and external economic factors will remain critical in determining its trajectory. The rise in long-term holding and strategic derivatives trading positions Bitcoin for continued growth and resilience in the ever-changing financial landscape.

To stay updated on the latest trends in cryptocurrency trading and market analysis, explore our article on latest news, where we cover significant events and their impact on the digital asset ecosystem.

Disclaimer: The information provided is not trading advice, Bitcoinworld.co.in holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.



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Powell Stands Firm: “I Won’t Resign Even If Trump Asks Me To”

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Powell Stands Firm: “I Won’t Resign Even If Trump Asks Me To”

In a strong assertion of the Federal Reserve’s independence, Jerome Powell, chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, has publicly stated that he will not resign even if President-elect Donald Trump asks him to do so. This bold statement, reported by Watcher Guru on X, highlights Powell’s commitment to his role and his belief in the autonomy of the Federal Reserve, irrespective of political pressures. As the country prepares for a new presidential term, Powell’s announcement is a firm reminder of the importance of central bank independence in the U.S. financial system.

Powell’s statement comes amid speculation about how Trump’s re-election might influence U.S. economic policy, and whether he would seek changes within the Federal Reserve. By firmly stating his intent to remain in office, Powell is setting a tone of stability, assuring markets and the public that the Federal Reserve’s policies will continue to be guided by economic data and long-term goals rather than political influences.

Powell won’t resign if Trump asksPowell won’t resign if Trump asks

 

The Importance of Central Bank Independence

Central bank independence is a cornerstone of the U.S. financial system, allowing the Federal Reserve to make decisions based on economic considerations rather than political pressures. This independence is essential for maintaining stability, as it enables the Fed to implement policies aimed at long-term economic health, regardless of political shifts in Washington.

Powell’s statement underscores his dedication to this principle. By affirming that he will not step down if asked, Powell is reinforcing the idea that the Fed’s work is apolitical. The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate—to promote maximum employment and stable prices—requires a level of objectivity that can only be maintained if the institution is insulated from political influences. Powell’s stance serves as a reminder of the need for the Fed to remain focused on economic stability and growth, irrespective of who holds office.

 

Trump and the Federal Reserve: A Complex Relationship

President-elect Donald Trump’s relationship with the Federal Reserve has been complex over the years. During his first term, Trump was vocal about his dissatisfaction with the Fed’s interest rate policies, often calling for lower rates to stimulate the economy. He even publicly criticized Powell on several occasions, which was unprecedented for a sitting president. Despite the criticisms, Powell remained committed to his mandate, guiding the Federal Reserve through challenging economic periods, including the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

As Trump prepares to re-enter the White House, there is renewed interest in how his administration might interact with the Federal Reserve. Powell’s assertion that he will not resign emphasizes his commitment to maintaining the Fed’s independence, regardless of any potential pressures or disagreements with the new administration. This move could help reassure markets that the Fed’s policies will remain stable, even if Trump seeks to influence economic decisions.

 

Implications for Monetary Policy

Powell’s stance could have significant implications for U.S. monetary policy. By confirming that he will not step down, Powell signals that he intends to continue leading the Federal Reserve’s approach to interest rates, inflation control, and economic stability. Under Powell’s leadership, the Fed has emphasized a data-driven approach, focusing on achieving the 2% inflation target and supporting sustainable economic growth. This approach is likely to remain in place, providing continuity for both investors and the broader economy.

The Fed’s current policy path, which includes potential considerations for rate cuts in 2024, will likely proceed as planned if Powell remains in office. Trump’s views on interest rates have historically leaned toward a more accommodative stance, favoring lower rates to stimulate economic growth. However, Powell’s leadership could help balance these perspectives, maintaining a cautious approach that considers both inflation risks and growth opportunities.

 

Market Reactions to Powell’s Statement

Powell’s declaration has garnered considerable attention from financial markets and analysts, who view his commitment to staying in his role as a positive sign of stability. Market reactions were generally positive, with analysts suggesting that Powell’s decision could help mitigate uncertainties surrounding U.S. monetary policy. By confirming his intent to remain as chair, Powell is providing a degree of reassurance that the Fed’s policies will continue to prioritize economic fundamentals.

Some market experts have noted that Powell’s stance reflects a desire to protect the Federal Reserve’s credibility. With Powell at the helm, the Fed’s independence and its commitment to data-driven policies remain intact. This stability is especially important given the global economic challenges, including inflation concerns and market volatility, that continue to impact economies worldwide.

 

The Broader Implications for the U.S. Economy

Powell’s decision to stay could have broader implications for the U.S. economy. By maintaining consistency in leadership, the Federal Reserve can continue to focus on its long-term objectives, such as stabilizing inflation and supporting employment. The continuity provided by Powell’s tenure helps ensure that the Fed’s monetary policy is aligned with these goals, which is crucial as the economy navigates a period of potential uncertainty.

Moreover, Powell’s commitment could influence the U.S. dollar’s strength, interest rates, and inflation expectations. The stability of the Fed’s leadership may enhance investor confidence, which can contribute to more stable currency markets and potentially support the dollar’s value. Additionally, with Powell leading a data-dependent Fed, interest rate decisions will likely be guided by economic indicators, ensuring that monetary policy adjustments are responsive to real economic conditions rather than political influences.

 

Conclusion

Jerome Powell’s declaration that he will not resign, even if President-elect Donald Trump requests it, underscores his commitment to maintaining the Federal Reserve’s independence. By affirming his dedication to his role, Powell is signaling that the Fed will continue to operate based on economic data and long-term objectives, prioritizing stability over political pressures. This commitment to autonomy is essential for fostering investor confidence and supporting a stable U.S. economy.

As the Fed prepares for potential policy reviews in December and beyond, Powell’s leadership promises continuity and a steadfast focus on the dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices. His stance is a reminder of the importance of an independent central bank in managing economic policy and safeguarding financial stability.

To learn more about the innovative startups shaping the future of the crypto industry, explore our article on the latest news, where we delve into the most promising ventures and their potential to disrupt traditional industries.

Disclaimer: The information provided is not trading advice, Bitcoinworld.co.in holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.



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Jack Dorsey’s Block Shifts Focus to Bitcoin Mining and Wallet Technology

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An Interview With Pi42 – BitcoinWorld

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In an exclusive interview with BitcoinWorld, we got the chance to speak with Avinash Shekhar, CoFounder & CEO, Pi42 

 

Pi42 has rapidly become a major player in India’s crypto landscape with its Crypto-INR perpetual futures. What inspired the creation of Pi42, and what do you believe sets it apart from other crypto exchanges in India and globally?

Indian investors wanted a solution that not only provides a range of derivatives but also ensures compliance, tax efficiency, and a user-friendly experience within the domestic context.

India lacked a comprehensive platform that allowed users to trade with both tax-saving benefits and in their local currency (INR) as well as crypto futures. Previously, traders were limited to using USDT for transactions. Pi42 is the first platform in India to provide this flexibility, enabling users to trade in INR. We identified a significant opportunity in the market due to this gap, especially considering the dissatisfaction among Indian traders with the heavy taxes imposed on crypto transactions.

With over 50,000 users and crossing INR 100 crore in daily trading volume, Pi42 has achieved impressive growth. What key factors do you attribute to this rapid expansion, and how do you plan to sustain this growth trajectory?

Focus on educating users on crypto, coffee catchups in tier 2 – tier 3 cities

Right practices to enter crypto and educating Indians in crypto market/ futures

We currently have a growing community of 50,000 users on our platform. While we’ve hit significant milestones, including trading volumes of ₹100 crore on multiple occasions, it’s important to note that these achievements are also driven by favorable market conditions and the user-friendly experience we offer, allowing seamless trading in domestic currency. Our primary focus has always been on empowering Indian users with the knowledge and tools for compliant and responsible crypto futures trading. To support this, we’ve organized a series of educational initiatives, particularly in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities across India. We remain committed to fostering responsible trading practices and guiding Indian users in navigating the crypto market, especially in the evolving landscape of crypto futures.

Will Pi42 launch its own token in near future? 

Our platform currently lists over 200 tokens, available for trading in both INR and USDT markets, offering users a wide range of options and flexibility. While we’re excited about the potential launch of Pi42’s own token, we believe it’s essential to prioritize the preferences of our community. We highly value user feedback, and if there is significant interest in a dedicated Pi42 token, we are fully equipped to make it a reality. However, our current focus remains on maximizing the growth and engagement of our community.

Pi42 offers significant tax advantages to its users through Crypto-INR perpetual futures. Could you explain how this tax efficiency works and how it benefits users compared to other platforms?

Crypto future trading of tokens listed on our platform does not fall under the VDA (Virtual Digital Asset) clause, which means users are exempt from the 30% VDA tax and 1% TDS that apply to other crypto transactions. However, it’s important to note that regular income tax rules still apply.

As India continues to develop its crypto regulations, how does Pi42 ensure compliance while maintaining a competitive edge? What challenges have you encountered in navigating India’s regulatory environment, and how do you foresee it evolving?

It is important to note that we follow a rigorous KYC process to ensure compliance and security when onboarding our users. We are also Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) registered. Additionally, all withdrawals on our platform are conducted in INR. It’s important to note that we do not allow any crypto withdrawals, ensuring a secure and transparent environment for our users.

India’s regulatory landscape around cryptocurrencies is evolving gradually, but Pi42 is designed to align perfectly with the local environment. Our approach centers around transparency and accountability, helping us not only remain compliant but also gain the trust of the Indian market. Navigating regulations can be challenging, but we see this as an opportunity to set industry benchmarks. We foresee the regulatory framework becoming more structured, paving the way for a more transparent and robust crypto ecosystem.

You’ve mentioned the need for expanding blockchain education in India. Why do you think it’s important, and how can the industry and platforms like Pi42 contribute to increasing blockchain literacy across the country?

The expansion of blockchain education in India will contribute to innovating, and encouraging entrepreneurship, and will impact in economic growth. Blockchain education addresses regulatory and security concerns by democratizing access to emerging technology, enhancing financial inclusion and literacy, and preparing the workforce for future job opportunities. Pi42 conducts meetups in various cities for enthusiasts where they share ideas, insights, and practical tips for anyone navigating the intricate landscape of blockchain and understanding the technology effortlessly. Additionally, Pi42 as an exchange hosts 200+ trading pairs which are built on blockchain technology.

Pi42 has introduced trading pairs like Render, Graph, 1000PEPE, and 1000FLOKI. What is the strategy behind offering such diverse assets, and how do you select new tokens or coins for your platform?

At Pi42, we’ve introduced diverse trading pairs across multiple categories to cater to the varied interests of our users. For instance, traders passionate about AI can explore AI-related tokens, while those who prefer meme coins have over 70 meme options listed on our platform. This variety allows us to offer a well-rounded trading experience that appeals to different customer preferences and trading styles. Each trading pair on Pi42 is selected with a view to offering users meaningful opportunities in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

As the co-founder of India’s first Crypto-INR perpetual futures exchange, where do you see the future of crypto exchanges in India? What trends or developments should we expect in the coming years?

In the past few years, there has been a gradual positive shift in the right direction. The government has provided clarity on taxation, and crypto exchanges are now reported entities under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA). However, the tax rate remains high, which is negatively impacting the growth of the ecosystem. This situation has led to a migration of trading volume to international exchanges, posing higher risks in terms of compliance and customer protection.

The taxation on crypto should also be at par with other businesses, the TDS should be reduced from 1% to 0.01 % and set off losses should be allowed.

Indian crypto market future seems promising. Increased adoptions and regulations where investors are becoming more informed and educated will surely increase the growth in the ecosystem.

With the implications of India’s crypto regulations and VDA taxes, how do you think this will shape the future of the Indian crypto market? What role does Pi42 play in helping users navigate this complex landscape?

India’s crypto market is currently navigating a challenging taxation regime. A 30% tax on income from cryptocurrencies and a 1% TDS on transactions above INR 10,000 have significantly impacted trading volumes and shifted this volume to international exchanges.  The taxation on crypto should also be at par with other businesses, the TDS should be reduced from 1% to 0.01 % and set off of losses should be allowed.

However, we believe that compliance will become a differentiator in the long run. Pi42 aims to support users by offering correct guidelines around the current regulations.

Pi42 has ambitions to become the largest compliant crypto futures platform globally. Could you share your vision for global expansion, and what markets or regions are you targeting next?

At Pi42, we aim to build the largest compliant crypto futures exchange in an emerging market. With a commitment to providing Indian investors with a secure and regulated platform, allowing access to a wide range of crypto futures products aligned with local regulatory frameworks. Our mission has been to offer ourselves as the exchange which is the choice for Indian investors and to catalyze innovation and growth from India with INR trading, thereby freeing them from offshore or global exchanges.

WazirX, a major Indian crypto exchange owned by Pi42 co-founder Nischal Shetty, recently faced a hacking incident. What lessons were learned from this event, and how has it influenced the security measures at Pi42 to ensure the safety of your platform and users?

We are an Indian rupee margined exchange. This means we don’t hold user funds in Crypto; we hold them in the Indian rupee. Therefore, there are no threats to Crypto hacks. So, from Day 0, we are safe from wallet hacks.

Yes, the recent events in the crypto space serve as critical reminders of the dynamic and evolving nature of cyber threats. This incident has further strengthened our commitment to security at Pi42, where we have already implemented a multi-layered security approach to safeguard user data.

Security breaches can significantly impact user trust. How do you plan to reassure Pi42 users, especially in light of the recent WazirX incident, that their assets and data are secure on your platform?

Security and user trust are at the core of Pi42’s values. We are committed to full transparency and the highest security standards. We implement end-to-end encryption for user data and real-time monitoring to quickly identify and resolve any suspicious activity. 

Additionally, we provide our users with resources on best security practices, such as enabling two-factor authentication and safe password management, to empower them to further secure their accounts.

As mentioned earlier, we don’t keep any of our user funds in Crypto, making it a safer option for the traders.

Our goal is to create a safe and trusted environment for all Pi42 users.

Stay tuned for more thought-provoking content and engaging interviews on Bitcoinworld.co.in, World of Cryptocurrency & Blockchain News.

Disclaimer: The information provided is not trading advice, Bitcoinworld.co.in holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.



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