A tentative proposal to tax cryptocurrency mining to raise funds for climate action took off during a United Nations climate conference that’s set to come to a close today.
Science
Another major hurricane is approaching Florida, one of the most rapidly intensifying on record
Hurricane Milton strengthened into a Category 5 storm today, becoming one of the most rapidly intensifying storms ever in the history of the Atlantic hurricane season.
“This is definitely off the charts”
“This is almost like three times the threshold that is used. So, yeah, this is definitely off the charts,” Karthik Balaguru, a climate scientist at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, says. Only Hurricane Wilma in 2005 and Hurricane Felix in 2007 have strengthened more rapidly than that, the NHC says.
Rapid intensification is becoming a bigger risk with climate change. Storms that gain strength that quickly can give communities less time to prepare. Milton is headed toward the west coast of Florida, where many residents are still recovering from Hurricane Helene’s wrath.
Milton’s sustained winds were estimated to be as high as 160 miles per hour by 11:55AM ET on Monday, October 7th, according to data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters aircraft. That puts it in the strongest category of storms — Category 5 — according to the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Wind speeds had reached a whopping 175mph by the NHC’s next update at 2PM ET. Milton has also managed to strengthen from a Category 1 to Category 5 storm at the second-fastest rate on record for the Atlantic, tying Hurricane Maria.
Hurricanes draw strength from heat energy at the surface of the sea. Unusually warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico helped supercharge Milton, as they did for Helene less than two weeks ago. Both storms rapidly intensified as they approached shore, benefitting from low wind shear that might otherwise tear a storm apart before it strengthens.
“This has been happening. Whether it is the third most or the 10th most [rapidly intensifying storm], it shouldn’t matter,” Balaguru says. “[Milton] fits this pattern of storms intensifying more rapidly with climate change. I think that is something for people to think about, especially when it happens like this, close to landfall.”
The storm is forecast to move near Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula today before approaching Florida on Wednesday. The storm surge could cause up to six feet of flooding along parts of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Florida’s Tampa Bay could potentially see a catastrophic 12-foot storm surge. Milton could meet stronger wind shear before hitting Florida’s Gulf Coast, weakening the storm. But it’s still projected to make landfall as a major hurricane “with life-threatening hazards.”
Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region on September 26th as a Category 4 storm, bringing a 15-foot storm surge to the area before tearing a devastating path across southeastern states up to North Carolina and leveling entire communities along the way. Milton could prove to be even more dangerous to Florida, in particular, as it barrels toward more populated regions along the state’s western coast.
Science
A proposed climate tax on crypto mining is gaining momentum
A levy on energy-hungry crypto mining, at $0.045 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity used, could generate $5.2 billion in revenue annually, according to a report released last week by the Global Solidarity Levies Task Force, led by Kenya, Barbados, and France.
The Bitcoin network is estimated to use more electricity annually than a majority of the world’s countries do individually. The idea is that a climate tax could reduce emissions by incentivizing mining firms to clean up their operations. And it could provide desperately needed funding to help less affluent nations transition to renewable energy and adapt to the effects of climate change.
“There are swathes of the economy which are largely under-taxed yet polluting the planet.”
“There are swathes of the economy which are largely under-taxed yet polluting the planet. Yet they have huge potential to close the climate finance gap,” the report says.
The task force formed last year to consider potential levies on heavily polluting industries as a way to fund action on climate change. It was initially expected to focus on fossil fuel companies, aviation, and maritime shipping, as well as a levy on financial transactions. A progress report the group released last week broadens that scope to include possible taxes on billionaires, plastic production, and crypto mining.
The report cites research by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that settles on $0.045 per kWh as the amount needed for a corrective tax to make up for the impact crypto mining has on the climate. That’s based on the consequences of the greenhouse gas emissions causing climate change and exacerbating disasters including storms, droughts, and wildfires. Taking into account other kinds of air pollution from burning fossil fuels, that tax rises to $0.085 per kWh.
“The fundamental idea of the correction is to increase the cost of pollution so that [those emitters] internalize the cost they impose on others,” says Shafik Hebous, lead author of the research that the task force cites and deputy division chief in the IMF’s fiscal affairs department.
Authenticating a single Bitcoin transaction requires as much electricity as a person in Ghana might use over three years or a person in Germany might burn through in three months, according to the IMF. Bitcoin miners operate big data centers filled with specialized hardware that solve puzzles around the clock to validate transactions. They eat up a lot of electricity in the process and earn Bitcoin in return.
The hope is that placing a tax on that electricity consumption could incentivize crypto miners to use more efficient hardware or even persuade the Bitcoin network to turn to a less energy-intensive method for validating transactions, much like Ethereum. By charging more for dirty sources of energy, the levy could also push miners to use more renewable energy.
There aren’t many details yet from the task force about how a global levy on crypto mining would actually work. There are big questions about how the money would be collected and how it would be used. So far, the group’s plan is to present concrete proposals at the spring meetings of the IMF and World Bank in April of next year. From there, they’d have to garner enough support for the levies to push for their implementation during the next major UN climate summit in Brazil in November 2025.
Kazakhstan, a big hub for Bitcoin mining, implemented a tax on crypto miners’ electricity use in 2022 and collected around $7 million from it that year. In the US, where more Bitcoin mining takes place than any other country, the Biden administration has proposed a 30 percent tax on crypto miners’ electricity consumption. President-elect Donald Trump, whose campaign was boosted by prominent crypto investor donors, is unlikely to support a climate levy.
The price of Bitcoin has soared to astonishing heights since Trump’s election, surging on expectations that his administration will be supportive of the industry. A higher price typically incentivizes more mining, which means more energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions.
The report dropped during climate negotiations at the UN summit in Baku, Azerbaijan, this month that were focused primarily on financing. Delegates from nearly 200 countries were wrangling over how much money wealthy nations, including countries like the US that have caused the most climate change with their greenhouse gas emissions, should contribute in aid to poorer countries most vulnerable to global warming. At the summit, the task force launched a broader Coalition for Solidarity Levies that now includes 17 countries and partner organizations including the African Union and the European Commission.
“There can be no climate justice without fiscal justice, as all countries are facing the same challenge: how to fund the transition while ensuring that those with the greatest means and the highest emissions pay their fair share,” Laurence Tubiana, co-lead of the Global Solidarity Levies Task Force Secretariat and CEO of the European Climate Foundation, said in a press release with the report launch.
Science
NASA wants SpaceX and Blue Origin to deliver cargo to the moon
The agency wants Elon Musk’s SpaceX to use its Starship cargo lander to deliver a pressurized rover to the Moon “no earlier” than 2032, while Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin will be tasked with delivering a lunar surface habitat no sooner than 2033. Both launches will support NASA’s Artemis missions, which aim to bring humans back to the Moon for the first time in over 50 years.
Both companies are developing human landing systems for Artemis missions — SpaceX for Artemis III and Blue Origin for Artemis V. NASA later asked both companies to develop cargo-hauling variants of those landers, capable of carrying 26,000 to 33,000 pounds of equipment and other materials to the Moon.
NASA says it will issue proposals to SpaceX and Blue Origin at the beginning of next year.
“Having two lunar lander providers with different approaches for crew and cargo landing capability provides mission flexibility while ensuring a regular cadence of Moon landings for continued discovery and scientific opportunity,” Stephen D. Creech, NASA’s assistant deputy associate administrator for the Moon to Mars program, said in the announcement.
Science
Brazil leads new international effort against climate lies
Brazil and the United Nations launched a new international effort to combat disinformation on climate change. They announced the Global Initiative for Information Integrity on Climate Change during the G20 Leaders’ Summit taking place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
It’s a collaboration between governments and international organizations to boost research on misinformation swirling online and around the globe that they fear could slow action on climate change. There isn’t much information available yet, but they say they’ll fund nonprofit efforts to counter that spread of lies.
“Countries cannot tackle this problem individually,” President of Brazil Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva said in a press release.
“Countries cannot tackle this problem individually.”
Only Chile, Denmark, France, Morocco, the United Kingdom, and Sweden have joined Brazil in the initiative so far. Countries that make the commitment are expected to contribute to a fund administered by the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). The initial goal is to get more countries on board and raise $10 to 15 million over the next three years. The money is then supposed to be distributed to nonprofit organizations as grants to support research and public awareness campaigns on climate disinformation.
They haven’t yet named any specific groups they plan to work with; “calls for partnerships” are forthcoming. Some environmental organizations are already working together to study disinformation and push for measures to stop its spread, like the Climate Action Against Disinformation coalition that publishes reports on misinformation trends and advocates for more stringent content moderation.
A webpage for the new global initiative says environmental disinformation is “increasingly spreading through social media, messaging apps, and generative AI.” That has “serious” consequences, it says: “it undermines scientific consensus, obstructs authorities’ ability to respond effectively to the crisis, and threatens the safety of journalists and environmental defenders working on the frontlines.”
FEMA employees faced violent threats on social media in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene in the US, for example. Accounts spewing misinformation about the storm and FEMA were also tied to content denying climate change, according to an analysis by the Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD) in October. Posts baselessly accused FEMA of seizing private property and confiscating donations — lies that risked deterring storm survivors from applying for assistance, and that raised fears that FEMA staff might face attacks.
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres also voiced his concerns during remarks today with both the G20 summit and a UN conference on climate change currently underway. “We must also take on climate disinformation,” Guterres said. “Our climate is at a breaking point.”
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